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This Week In Real Estate December 11th, 2009

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So, before you see the numbers, do you think we’ve entered the traditional December slowdown period yet? Milton Ontario Real Estate usually slows right down, although far less that in the 1980′s & 1990′s.

Here’s the chart for the Total Market Overview, by price range:

chris newell milton real estate agent total market overview by price range december 10th 2009

As the chart above reveals, the number of sales has indeed slowed in comparison to the last couple of weeks, and the average price range of activity is much lower. Comparison to the same period last year might tell more of a story?

chris newell milton real estate agent annual weekly summary of activity chart december 10th 2009

Nope – the number of listings year-over-year is down by 330 properties, but the number of sales is up by 50%. Not only that, the average price is up by 30%, so I think it is safe to say that milton ontario real estate is still thriving.

But what about the absorption rate?

chris newell milton real estate agent weekly absorption rate december 10th 2009

chris newell milton real estate agent weekly absorption rate graph december 10th 2009

Obviously, there’s still a pretty dire shortage of listings. It is always interesting to me that whenever there is a shortage of listing, more and more people decide to sell themselves. I give them full credit for trying, I really do. What I don’t understand is why they go and spend $1,000 on one of those companies who does nothing for them, and then in 3 weeks, list with an agent. I don’t understand, from a financial standpoint, why people sell privately when national statistics show that people who use a Realtor sell for an average 11% more. However, it is their right and I respect them for wanting to try it.

Finally, here’s the graph of the Annual Summary of Weekly Numbers:

chris newell milton real estate agent annual weekly summary of activity december 10th 2009

Market Update December 4th, 2009

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Because we’re near the month end, there’s a whole lot of information in this post about the milton ontario real estate market, with my commentary sprinkled throughout.

I’m going to start off with the monthly summary, as released by the Oakville, Milton, & District Real Estate Board:

chris newell milton ontario real estate agent oakville milton real estate board november 2009 market summaryAs you can see, and regular readers will have known for some time, all of the numbers except available listings, are up substantially over 2008′s numbers. That’s a double-edged sword, depending what side of the fence you are on – buyer or seller.

Next, I’ll show you the monthly averages, by house type. In these charts, DOM signifies Days on Market, or the number of days a property takes to sell from initial listing date to the date all conditions are removed from the offer.

This first table shows numbers for Condo Apartments in Milton Ontario:

chris newell milton real estate agent monthly summary condo apartments

Next, Condo Townhouses:

chris newell milton real estate agent monthly summary condo townhouses

Next, Freehold Townhouses / Row Houses:

chris newell milton real estate agent monthly summary freehold townhouse

Then comes Semi-Detached Houses in milton ontario:

chris newell milton real estate agent monthly summary semi-detached

And finally, Detached & Link Homes:

chris newell milton real estate agent monthly summary detached link

As you can see, the market is significantly better for seller’s this year compared to last, and for buyers, the ‘better’ part comes from the low interest rates.

Here’s this week’s Total Market Overview:

chris newell milton real estate agent total market overview 12-03-2009 price range activity

You’ll notice the price range of $0 to $240,000 has a very long average days to sell – that is completely skewed by one property that was on-&-off the market for a few years.

Here’s the Annual Summary of Activity:

chris newell milton real estate agent weekly market annual summary 12-03-2009

and the graphical representation:

chris newell milton real estate agent weekly market annual summary chart 12-03-2009

GREAT numbers again this week, as is backed-up by the Absorption Rate information:

chris newell milton real estate agent weekly market absorption rate table 12-03-2009

WOW – Same-Week 2008 we had a 47 week supply of houses compared to a 3-week supply of houses!

chris newell milton real estate agent weekly market absorption rate chart 12-03-2009

I’m switching over to a new format for market reports in January – a service provider will be compiling the information for me, while we will both be providing analysis; him from a technical standpoint and me from an in-the-trenches viewpoint.

As always, your comments are most welcome!

Milton Real Estate Total Market Overview 11-27-2009

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Yes, it’s that time again – time to do the numbers and see where we’re at in milton ontario real estate this week. It’s been a fairly quiet week in the market, with sales being down about 35% over last week, while available inventory is up 10%. The average price this week is up over last week, by about 9%. Comparing the numbers to the same time last year, the number of available listings is down by 80%, the number of sales is up by 25%, the average sale price shot from $277,000 to $440,000 and the days to sell dropped from 38 to 15. The average list-to-sale ration also rose by 2% over last year!

So, to what do we owe these big changes? Well, last year, the US was really mired in their financial meltdown, and Canadians were only in the beginning stages of holding back their moving plans, as is evidenced by the fact that we had a more normal 545 houses on the market. Another factor would be that the discounted 5-year mortgage rate is down by approximately 1.5% over 12 months ago. That equates to a saving of about $200 per month for every $100,000 borrowed, which is a huge jump in purchasing power. Another factor is that it is somewhat easier to borrow right now than it was 12 months ago. However, I think the overarching factor is probably that the Canadian psyche is feeling better, having had a year to see what cross-border effects the US meltdown will have.

Here’s the annual summary of Milton Ontario real estate activity:

chris newell milton real estate agent annual chart november 27 2009 price range summary

And the same information in graphical format:

chris newell milton real estate agent annual graph november 27 2009 price range summary

The Absorption Rate – this chart will be very revealing over the next few months, as we move through the holiday season and people begin planning their Spring move:

chris newell milton real estate agentmarket absorption rate november 27 2009 weekly summary

Remember when reading the chart above that the ‘Absorption Rate – Weeks’ column refers to how many weeks it would take for every house on the market to sell at the current rate of sales and no new properties coming on the market.

Here’s the same information in graphical format:

chris newell milton real estate agentmarket absorption rate  graph november 27 2009 weekly summary

And finally, the milton ontario real estate market total weekly overview of activity by price range:

chris newell milton real estate agent total market overview november 27 2009 weekly price range summary

As always, if you have any questions about any of the information, please call me at 905-878-4444 and I’ll be happy to discuss how your home fits into the market, or to answer any questions you might have. I’d love to read your comments on my thoughts about why the market is the way it is right now.

Milton Ontario Real Estate Update November 20th, 2009

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Before I get into this week’s milton ontario real estate market activity report, here’s some information from the toronto real estate board (treb):

GTA REALTORS® Report Mid-Month Resale Housing Market Figures
TORONTO, November 18, 2009 – In the first two weeks of November, Greater Toronto
REALTORS® reported 3,666 sales – up 84 per cent compared to the first two weeks of
November 2008. The average price for these transactions was up 10 per cent year-overyear
to $415,066.
Increased interest in ownership housing has been widespread throughout the GTA and
across all housing types,” said Toronto Real Estate Board President Tom Lebour.
“However, it is important to point out that we are now making comparisons to the fall of
2008 when we experienced a marked decline in sales and average price”
Year-to-date sales, at 78,233 are up 11 per cent compared to 2008. Average price, at
$393,180, is up by three per cent.
“Sales and average price in the GTA this winter will be well above levels reported
throughout the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009,” according to Jason
Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis.
Summary Of November Sales And Average Price
November
2009 2008
Sales Average Price Sales Average Price
City of Toronto (“416″) 1,560 $441,893 830 $400,305
Rest of GTA (“905″) 2,106 $395,195 1,161 $358,130
GTA 3,666 $415,066 1,991 $375,712
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
Greater Toronto REALTORS® are passionate about their work.
chris newell milton ontario real estate agent TREB News 1November 20 2009chris newell milton ontario real estate agent TREB News 2November 20 2009
I’m quite interested in the final paragraph of text above, as it would seem that Jason Mercer has a crystal ball that none of us plebes-in-the-trenches have. I’m not saying I disagree that the market will continue to be incredibly strong, but I think it risky to make such an empirical statement.
So, on to the Milton report . . .
Here’s the weekly Total Market Overview:
chris newell milton ontario real estate agent weekly total market overview november 20 2009
If you look at, for example, the price range of $0-$240,000, you will see that there is only one available property, yet there were 2 sales – obviously, one property came onto the market during the week, and sold right away or a couple of sales firmed up. Either way, with such a short supply of houses in the entry-level price range, now would be an incredible time to sell your home in that range.
Interesting to note is that the price range that was scalding hot for several months, $400,000 to $450,000, has seen a cooling off – not a lot of inventory but not much in the way of sales.
The graphical presentation of the Annual Summary:
chris newell milton ontario real estate agent weekly annual summary chart november 20 2009
And the tabular presentation of the information:
chris newell milton ontario real estate agent weekly annual summary november 20 2009
Looking at the year-over-year numbers, we have 100 listings now, compared to 561 12 months ago; we had 35 sales compared to 9 a year ago, and the average sale price is $100,000 over 12 months ago. That is largely reflective of the fact that many buyers who would have bought a $320,000 house a year ago are now buying houses in the $375,000 to $425,000 range.
Here’s the Market Absorption Rate:
chris newell milton ontario real estate agent weekly absorption rate tracking november 20 2009
And the Absorption Rate table:
chris newell milton ontario real estate agent weekly absorption rate table november 20 2009
Basically, what the table above shows is that if no new listings came on the market and sales continued at this week’s rate, there would be no houses left for sale in 3 weeks. Talk about a Seller’s Market!

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